2026-08 · Covering 2025-07 – 2026-07
Executive Summary
This issue analyzes 40 contracted luxury rental transactions (¥500,000/month and above) across Tokyo's 23 wards in July 2026, sourced from Real Estate Information Network Systems, Japan's designated real estate transaction database. Because this dataset reflects signed leases rather than asking prices, it offers a more accurate read of where the market is actually clearing, rather than where landlords hope it will.
Minato-ku dominated volume this month, accounting for 18 of 40 contracts (45%) at a median monthly rent of ¥1,175,000 — a notably rich reading driven by a cluster of large-format, high-value signings rather than a broad repricing of the ward. Shinjuku-ku and Shibuya-ku each contributed 4 contracts, with Chiyoda-ku, Chuo-ku and Meguro-ku at 3 apiece; no other ward reached the 5-contract reliability threshold this month, a narrower spread of activity than in recent issues. The top-end of the market produced two notable transactions worth separating. The monthly high was Mita Garden Hills Park Mansion in Minato-ku at ¥3.3M/month (132.11㎡, 2LDK) — a genuine benchmark for the building's flagship units. Separately, a 25.52㎡ studio at Total Shine in Shinagawa-ku contracted at ¥1.393M/month (¥54,585/㎡) — an extreme outlier for a compact unit that we flag rather than fold into the ward's typical pricing.
Key observation: July 2026 median contracted rent came in at ¥735,000 — up 9.7% month-over-month from June's ¥670,000, though still down 2.0% year-over-year vs. July 2025 (¥750K). Contract volume fell more sharply, down 23% from June (52 → 40) and down 34% year-over-year (61 → 40). The MoM rent gain reads more like a compositional shift toward larger, pricier Minato-ku units than a broad-based repricing — worth watching for confirmation in August's print before treating it as a trend.
Market Data
All figures represent contracted (成約) rents of ¥500,000/month or above, cleaned of properties without floor area data and entries inconsistent with a monthly rental figure.
| Month | n | Median | Max | ¥/㎡ | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | 61 | ¥750K | ¥2.7M | ¥7,948 | 103.4㎡ |
| Aug 2025 | 45 | ¥680K | ¥2.3M | ¥8,411 | 92.7㎡ |
| Sep 2025 | 61 | ¥695K | ¥3M | ¥8,154 | 93.6㎡ |
| Oct 2025 | 46 | ¥750K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,537 | 87.4㎡ |
| Nov 2025 | 51 | ¥770K | ¥2.5M | ¥8,564 | 100.7㎡ |
| Dec 2025 | 58 | ¥680K | ¥3M | ¥8,903 | 86.8㎡ |
| Jan 2026 | 39 | ¥628K | ¥1.5M | ¥9,389 | 85㎡ |
| Feb 2026 | 63 | ¥675K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,142 | 92㎡ |
| Mar 2026 | 66 | ¥740K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,984 | 94㎡ |
| Apr 2026 | 53 | ¥674K | ¥4M | ¥9,039 | 89㎡ |
| May 2026 | 41 | ¥700K | ¥1.6M | ¥8,765 | 87㎡ |
| Jun 2026 | 52 | ¥670K | ¥3.6M | ¥9,289 | 90㎡ |
| Jul 2026 | 40 | ¥735K | ¥3.3M | ¥7,633 | 100.4㎡ |
Market Data
Volume and pricing by ward, ranked by number of contracts. July 2026 alone produced only 40 qualifying contracts, too thin a sample to report most wards reliably — so this table uses a trailing three-month window (May–July 2026, 133 contracts) instead. Wards with fewer than 5 contracts across the window are excluded for statistical reliability.
| Ward | n | Median | Max | ¥/㎡ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minato-ku | 65 | ¥900,000 | ¥3.3M | ¥9,199 |
| Shibuya-ku | 21 | ¥670,000 | ¥1.1M | ¥7,439 |
| Chiyoda-ku | 12 | ¥662,500 | ¥1.65M | ¥6,194 |
| Chuo-ku | 8 | ¥610,000 | ¥750,000 | ¥6,231 |
| Shinjuku-ku | 7 | ¥530,000 | ¥1.35M | ¥5,767 |
| Meguro-ku | 5 | ¥620,000 | ¥1.8M | ¥6,159 |
Market Data
Buildings appearing most frequently across the trailing twelve months (August 2025–July 2026), indicating high turnover or large unit counts.
| Building | Ward | n |
|---|---|---|
| World Tower Residence | Minato-ku | 21 |
| Mita Garden Hills North Hill | Minato-ku | 16 |
| Mita Garden Hills South Hill | Minato-ku | 14 |
| Azabu Dai-ichi Mansions | Minato-ku | 14 |
| Mita Garden Hills East Hill | Minato-ku | 14 |
| Millennium Garden Court | Chiyoda-ku | 11 |
| Park Tower Nishi-Shinjuku | Shinjuku-ku | 10 |
| Mita Garden Hills Park Mansion | Minato-ku | 9 |
| Aoyama Dai-ichi Mansions | Minato-ku | 9 |
| Azabu Terrace Apartment | Minato-ku | 8 |
| Grand Hills Ebisu | Shibuya-ku | 8 |
| Hiroo Garden Hills M-tou | Shibuya-ku | 8 |
| Mita Garden Hills West Hill | Minato-ku | 8 |
Note: the Mita Garden Hills complex — split across four registered sub-buildings (North / East / South / West Hill and Park Mansion) — collectively logged 61 contracts over the trailing 12 months, which would rank it well ahead of every other entry above if counted as a single address.
Methodology
Source: Real Estate Information Network Systems, Japan's designated real estate transaction database operated under the country's real estate brokerage law, accessed via TokyoExpat's industry membership.
Scope: All contracted (成約) rental transactions of ¥500,000/month or above, Tokyo Metropolis. No ward restriction applied.
Limitations: This is a transaction-count sample, not a comprehensive census. Wards with fewer than 5 contracts in a given period carry low statistical reliability.